UNITED STATES — A widespread severe weather event is expected Monday into Monday night, impacting much of the Central Plains and Mid-Mississippi Valley, with risks including tornadoes, large hail, damaging winds, and heavy rainfall.
Large risk area stretches from Plains to Midwest
Forecast data shows a broad severe weather zone extending from Nebraska and Kansas through Iowa and Missouri, and into Illinois, Wisconsin, and Minnesota.
This wide coverage points to a more organized system, with multiple states facing an increased threat of severe storms throughout the day and evening.
Storms expected along frontal boundary
Storms are likely to develop along a boundary that could act as either a cold front or dryline, depending on how the system evolves.
This boundary will trigger thunderstorm development during the afternoon, with storms expected to strengthen quickly as they move east and northeast into the evening.
All severe weather hazards possible
Atmospheric conditions support an all-hazards event, meaning storms may produce:
- Tornadoes, including the potential for stronger, organized systems
- Large hail, especially during early storm development
- Damaging winds as storms grow into clusters or lines
- Heavy rainfall that could cause localized flooding
Favorable conditions for strong storm development
Increasing low-level moisture combined with strong southwest winds will create an environment favorable for severe thunderstorms.
Wind shear across the region will further enhance storm organization, raising the likelihood of sustained severe weather rather than short-lived storms.
Timing focused on afternoon and evening
The main window for severe weather is expected during the afternoon and evening hours Monday, with storms continuing into the night as they move across the Midwest.
Residents in affected areas should stay alert, as conditions may change quickly once storms begin to develop.
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